Event Selector

UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik

We normalise every prediction into a confidence score (weight) using past accuracy, ROI momentum, specialization, geography, and value signals. Those weights form implied odds you can stack against raw crowd counts and bookmaker prices to hunt edges.

Jun 04, 2022 Past Las Vegas, Nevada , U.S. U S Total Weight 502.123
Channels Engaged
13
Predictions Logged
165
Value Picks Flagged
47
Fight Slots
14
Event Signals Updating…
Crowd Volume 165 Predictions logged for this card.
Active Voices 13 Channels contributing weight.
Value Picks 47 Flagged by trusted sources.
Top Edge 1.16 Karolina Kowalkiewicz ROI 1.35x
Confidence score = baseline voice + bonuses below. We normalize fighter totals into decimal odds that you can stack against bookmakers to surface edges.
Baseline Voice +1.0
Every prediction starts at 1.0 weight before bonuses.
Accuracy Edge ×1.2
Scaled by channel-wide hit rate across all tracked picks.
ROI Momentum ×1.0
Rewards sustained profit per moneyline wager compared to market odds.
Underdog Specialist ×0.9
Boosts channels when they beat markets backing plus-money sides.
Favorite Reliability ×0.6
Rewards favorite-heavy channels with elite conversion on chalk picks.
Weight-Class Ace ×0.7
Adds lift when a channel dominates this exact division historically.
Regional Familiarity Local +0.45 / Global +0.15
Channels sharing the event’s home country get the full bonus; others earn a smaller global familiarity boost.
Value Pick Signal ×0.35
Adds conviction when the channel explicitly flags the selection as value.
Sample Size Confidence ×0.6
Logarithmic boost based on verified moneyline bet volume (caps at 0.6).

Edge Radar

How it works

Weighted consensus vs bookmaker decimal odds. ROI > 1.00x = crowd edge.

Value Finds
Karolina Kowalkiewicz vs Felice Herrig 1.35x ROI
Karolina Kowalkiewicz weighted 1.16 Market 1.94 Crowd 1.17
AU, EU, UK, US Sample 4
Tony Gravely vs Johnny Muñoz Jr. 1.33x ROI
Tony Gravely weighted 1.13 Market 1.79 Crowd 1.14
AU, EU, UK, US Sample 4
Market Heat
Karolina Kowalkiewicz vs Felice Herrig 0.59x ROI
Felice Herrig weighted 7.14 Market 1.81 Crowd 7.0
AU, EU, UK, US Sample 4
Tony Gravely vs Johnny Muñoz Jr. 0.61x ROI
Johnny Muñoz Jr. weighted 8.74 Market 1.98 Crowd 8.0
AU, EU, UK, US Sample 4
Benoît Saint Denis vs Niklas Stolze 0.68x ROI
Niklas Stolze weighted 8.49 Market 2.26 Crowd 7.0
AU, EU, UK, US Sample 4

Post-Fight Scorecard

Resolved fights 14
Weighted model 92.9%
Pure crowd 92.9%
Market favourite 85.7%

Alexander Volkov vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik

Market Snapshot

Loading regional prices…

Wisdom vs Market

No implied odds yet — waiting on predictions or prices.
Select a fight to compare probabilities.

Weight Distribution

Weights convert to implied odds once predictions load.

Method Prophecies

Ranking Spotlight

Informational lens only – rankings here do not alter the weighting model.

Channels with the heaviest influence on this card.

Weight Mix

Total bonuses applied across all predictions (higher = stronger influence).

Accuracy Edge 121.12
ROI Momentum 0.51
Underdog Specialist 1.22
Favorite Reliability 52.49
Weight-Class Ace 9.43
Regional Familiarity 23.25
Value Pick Signal 30.1
Sample Size Confidence 99.0

Channel Track Records

Each voice below shows its event influence, historical accuracy/ROI, and where the weight score found lift. Expand picks to see their exact calls with fighter imagery, odds, and supporting rationale.