Event Selector

UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie

We normalise every prediction into a confidence score (weight) using past accuracy, ROI momentum, specialization, geography, and value signals. Those weights form implied odds you can stack against raw crowd counts and bookmaker prices to hunt edges.

Aug 26, 2023 Past Kallang , Singapore Singapore Total Weight 1329.263
Channels Engaged
62
Predictions Logged
551
Value Picks Flagged
155
Fight Slots
13
Event Signals Updating…
Crowd Volume 551 Predictions logged for this card.
Active Voices 62 Channels contributing weight.
Value Picks 155 Flagged by trusted sources.
Top Edge 1.3 Billy Goff ROI 1.3x
Confidence score = baseline voice + bonuses below. We normalize fighter totals into decimal odds that you can stack against bookmakers to surface edges.
Baseline Voice +1.0
Every prediction starts at 1.0 weight before bonuses.
Accuracy Edge ×1.2
Scaled by channel-wide hit rate across all tracked picks.
ROI Momentum ×1.0
Rewards sustained profit per moneyline wager compared to market odds.
Underdog Specialist ×0.9
Boosts channels when they beat markets backing plus-money sides.
Favorite Reliability ×0.6
Rewards favorite-heavy channels with elite conversion on chalk picks.
Weight-Class Ace ×0.7
Adds lift when a channel dominates this exact division historically.
Regional Familiarity Local +0.45 / Global +0.15
Channels sharing the event’s home country get the full bonus; others earn a smaller global familiarity boost.
Value Pick Signal ×0.35
Adds conviction when the channel explicitly flags the selection as value.
Sample Size Confidence ×0.6
Logarithmic boost based on verified moneyline bet volume (caps at 0.6).

Edge Radar

How it works

Weighted consensus vs bookmaker decimal odds. ROI > 1.00x = crowd edge.

Value Finds
Billy Goff vs Yusaku Kinoshita 1.3x ROI
Billy Goff weighted 1.3 Market 2.14 Crowd 1.33
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Garrett Armfield vs Toshiomi Kazama 1.2x ROI
Garrett Armfield weighted 1.23 Market 1.63 Crowd 1.31
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Market Heat
Billy Goff vs Yusaku Kinoshita 0.65x ROI
Yusaku Kinoshita weighted 4.29 Market 1.71 Crowd 4.0
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Garrett Armfield vs Toshiomi Kazama 0.76x ROI
Toshiomi Kazama weighted 5.3 Market 2.33 Crowd 4.2
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Michał Oleksiejczuk vs Chidi Njokuani 0.84x ROI
Chidi Njokuani weighted 2.84 Market 1.96 Crowd 2.71
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5

Post-Fight Scorecard

Resolved fights 13
Weighted model 92.3%
Pure crowd 84.6%
Market favourite 61.5%

Max Holloway vs Jung Chan-sung

Market Snapshot

Loading regional prices…

Wisdom vs Market

No implied odds yet — waiting on predictions or prices.
Select a fight to compare probabilities.

Weight Distribution

Weights convert to implied odds once predictions load.

Method Prophecies

Ranking Spotlight

Informational lens only – rankings here do not alter the weighting model.

Channels with the heaviest influence on this card.

Weight Mix

Total bonuses applied across all predictions (higher = stronger influence).

Accuracy Edge 298.19
ROI Momentum -1.84
Underdog Specialist 0.03
Favorite Reliability 103.28
Weight-Class Ace 3.01
Regional Familiarity 58.35
Value Pick Signal 72.45
Sample Size Confidence 244.8

Channel Track Records

Each voice below shows its event influence, historical accuracy/ROI, and where the weight score found lift. Expand picks to see their exact calls with fighter imagery, odds, and supporting rationale.