Event Selector

UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza

We normalise every prediction into a confidence score (weight) using past accuracy, ROI momentum, specialization, geography, and value signals. Those weights form implied odds you can stack against raw crowd counts and bookmaker prices to hunt edges.

Oct 14, 2023 Past Las Vegas, Nevada , U.S. U S Total Weight 1618.481
Channels Engaged
86
Predictions Logged
661
Value Picks Flagged
217
Fight Slots
11
Event Signals Updating…
Crowd Volume 661 Predictions logged for this card.
Active Voices 86 Channels contributing weight.
Value Picks 217 Flagged by trusted sources.
Top Edge 1.38 Jennifer Maia ROI 1.12x
Confidence score = baseline voice + bonuses below. We normalize fighter totals into decimal odds that you can stack against bookmakers to surface edges.
Baseline Voice +1.0
Every prediction starts at 1.0 weight before bonuses.
Accuracy Edge ×1.2
Scaled by channel-wide hit rate across all tracked picks.
ROI Momentum ×1.0
Rewards sustained profit per moneyline wager compared to market odds.
Underdog Specialist ×0.9
Boosts channels when they beat markets backing plus-money sides.
Favorite Reliability ×0.6
Rewards favorite-heavy channels with elite conversion on chalk picks.
Weight-Class Ace ×0.7
Adds lift when a channel dominates this exact division historically.
Regional Familiarity Local +0.45 / Global +0.15
Channels sharing the event’s home country get the full bonus; others earn a smaller global familiarity boost.
Value Pick Signal ×0.35
Adds conviction when the channel explicitly flags the selection as value.
Sample Size Confidence ×0.6
Logarithmic boost based on verified moneyline bet volume (caps at 0.6).

Edge Radar

How it works

Weighted consensus vs bookmaker decimal odds. ROI > 1.00x = crowd edge.

Value Finds
Viviane Araújo vs Jennifer Maia 1.12x ROI
Jennifer Maia weighted 1.38 Market 1.65 Crowd 1.45
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Market Heat
Viviane Araújo vs Jennifer Maia 0.83x ROI
Viviane Araújo weighted 3.61 Market 2.26 Crowd 3.21
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Michel Pereira vs Andre Petroski 0.84x ROI
Andre Petroski weighted 4.11 Market 2.51 Crowd 3.67
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5
Darren Elkins vs T.J. Brown 0.89x ROI
T.J. Brown weighted 1.83 Market 1.53 Crowd 1.9
AU, EU, UK, US, US2 Sample 5

Post-Fight Scorecard

Resolved fights 11
Weighted model 54.5%
Pure crowd 54.5%
Market favourite 54.5%

Edson Barboza vs Sodiq Yusuff

Market Snapshot

Loading regional prices…

Wisdom vs Market

No implied odds yet — waiting on predictions or prices.
Select a fight to compare probabilities.

Weight Distribution

Weights convert to implied odds once predictions load.

Method Prophecies

Ranking Spotlight

Informational lens only – rankings here do not alter the weighting model.

Channels with the heaviest influence on this card.

Weight Mix

Total bonuses applied across all predictions (higher = stronger influence).

Accuracy Edge 346.48
ROI Momentum 1.74
Underdog Specialist 6.72
Favorite Reliability 118.89
Weight-Class Ace 14.15
Regional Familiarity 75.15
Value Pick Signal 108.15
Sample Size Confidence 286.2

Channel Track Records

Each voice below shows its event influence, historical accuracy/ROI, and where the weight score found lift. Expand picks to see their exact calls with fighter imagery, odds, and supporting rationale.